SHANGHAI (Reuters) – China’s central bank held back on buying gold for its reserves for a fifth straight month in September, official data showed on Monday, mainly due to a surge in prices for the yellow metal.
China’s gold holdings stood at 72.8 million troy ounces at the end of last month. The value of the gold reserves, however, rose to $191.47 billion from $182.98 billion at the end of August.
Gold prices have risen around 28% so far this year – heading for the biggest annual gain in 14 years – underpinned by the start of U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, and robust demand from central banks.
Global Central Banks Adjusting Gold Purchases
Global central banks, which actively bought gold in 2022-2023, are on track to slow purchases in 2024 from 2023, according to the World Gold Council, but to keep them above the pre-2022 level.
This adjustment is partly due to the pause in purchases by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), which until May had bought gold for 18 consecutive months.
Pause in Purchases by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC)
The central bank was the world’s largest official sector buyer of gold in 2023, and its decision to put its buying on hold muted Chinese investor demand in recent months. “With higher gold prices, the PBOC continues to pause from new purchases. We believe the central bank would like more gold but is waiting for a more attractive entry point,” said WisdomTree commodity strategist Nitesh Shah.
“However, with global interest rates falling and geopolitical tensions rising, it looks like they may have to wait for some time for a price dip. Given our forecast of prices rising to over $3,000/oz in the coming year, the central bank may want to consider building positions earlier.”
Additional Insight
China’s decision to halt gold purchases aligns with the global trend of central banks adjusting their gold buying strategies. As the price of gold continues to soar, central banks are actively evaluating the timing of their purchases to optimize their positions. With economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions persisting, central banks like the PBOC may need to carefully consider their entry points to ensure the best outcomes for their reserves.
