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NYSEARCA:GLD sees reduced rate cut bets impact on gold gains and prices

kent-jackson by kent-jackson
June 12, 2024
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NYSEARCA:GLD sees reduced rate cut bets impact on gold gains and prices
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monsitj/iStock via Getty Images

Gold prices enjoyed a boost following the release of tame U.S. inflation data, but gains were pared following the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged this month – as expected – but saying it anticipates only one rate cut this year, citing continued elevated levels of inflation.

The Consumer Price Index rose 3.3% annually in May, below April’s 3.4% and slightly weaker than consensus forecast in a Wall Street Journal poll of analysts.

Despite the report, Fed officials penciled in just one rate cut for this year, indicating most are in no hurry to lower rates.

Fed officials meet four more times this year – in July, September, November, and December – and the rate projections could cool expectations of a September cut that some investors anticipated after the inflation report.

Gold likely would be “one of the biggest beneficiaries” when the Fed starts to chip away at rates, “free to assume its traditional role as a safe haven of choice vs. the diminishing role of interest-bearing financial instruments,” Mizuho’s Robert Yawger said.

“We expect factors such as political and economic instability in the United States will have a massive impact on the value of gold moving forward,” Genesis Gold Group’s Jonathan Rose said, according to Dow Jones.

With many forecasts for gold exceeding the $3,000-$5,000/oz mark over the next decade, Genesis Gold remains highly optimistic about the metal, Rose said.

Front-month Comex gold (XAUUSD:CUR) for June delivery closed +1.2% to $2,336/oz, but spot gold trimmed gains to +0.3% at $2,322/oz following the Fed news, after rising as much as 1% earlier in the day.

ETFs: (NYSEARCA:GLD), (GDX), (GDXJ), (IAU), (NUGT), (PHYS), (GLDM), (AAAU), (SGOL), (BAR), (OUNZ)

“There are lots of reasons driving gold right now… but one of the major factors is China,” Ruth Crowell, CEO of the London Bullion Market Association, told Reuters at the Asia Pacific Precious Metals conference in Singapore.

“Usually China and Japan have been budget shoppers, but given the state of the economy, real estate challenges, and equity markets, gold is a safe choice,” Crowell said, adding that gold should “be of interest for some time.”

### Gold Prices React to Fed Decision
Gold prices saw fluctuations after the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain interest rates, which led to a less optimistic outlook for rate cuts for the rest of the year.

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### Factors Impacting Gold’s Valuation
The potential impact of political and economic instability in the United States on gold’s value highlights the importance of external factors in shaping the precious metal’s trajectory.

### China’s Influence on Gold Market
China’s evolving economic landscape and its shift towards gold as a safe investment choice are key drivers in the current gold market trend. This signals a potential sustained interest in gold for the foreseeable future.

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