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Gold prices surge by $25, approaching all-time highs

kent-jackson by kent-jackson
September 5, 2024
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Gold prices surge by $25, approaching all-time highs
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Gold is shining again today, up $25 to $2519 in a quick recovery after a three-day decline that ended Tuesday.

It’s an impressive bounce that runs counter to recent seasonal weakness in Sept/Oct.

There is a sense that China is behind the buying, particularly Chinese investors who have been burned by real estate and domestic equities. The PBOC is also building gold reserves but it’s not clear how price-sensitive they are. Earlier this year, it looked like they wanted to pause buying above $2200 but they may have decided those levels are unlikely to return.

The latest pop in gold price came on US dollar weakness on a soft ADP employment report but was erased on steady initial jobless claims. That’s left gold $16 from the all-time highs and it will be a stretch to break that before non-farm payrolls.

A big lift for gold is coming from the Treasury market where US 10-year yields are down to 3.73%. Other sovereign yields are also falling and that’s reducing competition for gold.

### China’s Influence on Gold Market
The article mentions the impact of Chinese investors on the buying of gold, possibly due to their recent disappointments in real estate and domestic equities. This suggests that external economic factors can play a significant role in the fluctuations of gold prices.

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### Currency Influence on Gold Prices
The mention of US dollar weakness contributing to the rise in gold prices highlights the interconnectedness of currency markets with the precious metal market. Investors often turn to gold as a safe-haven asset when major currencies falter.

### Treasury Market’s Impact on Gold
The decline in US 10-year yields and falling sovereign yields are cited as factors reducing competition for gold. This underscores the importance of monitoring bond markets and interest rates when analyzing gold price movements.

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