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Gold prices remain near record highs as rate cut optimism continues

kent-jackson by kent-jackson
July 18, 2024
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Gold prices remain near record highs as rate cut optimism continues
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Gold prices climb on dollar weakness and trade tensions

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Gold prices edged higher in Asian trade on Thursday, holding near record levels as weakness in the dollar and escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China supported the precious metal.

The price of gold increased by 0.3% to $2,466.18 an ounce, while gold futures for August delivery rose by 0.4% to $2,469.55 an ounce, with spot prices reaching a record high of $2,483.78 an ounce.

Gold buoyed by rate cut expectations and safe haven demand

The rally in gold prices was fueled by expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts following soft inflation data and dovish comments from the Federal Reserve. Traders were pricing in a 94% likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, with a possibility of a 50 basis point cut.

The weakening dollar, which hit a near four-month low, further supported gold prices as commodities priced in the dollar became more attractive. Additionally, concerns over escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China, including potential restrictions on Chinese technology and chipmaking sectors, boosted safe haven demand for gold.

Copper declines on China concerns

In contrast to gold, copper prices dipped as negative sentiment towards China weighed on the industrial metal’s prospects. China, being the largest copper importer globally, faces economic headwinds that could dampen demand for copper.

Benchmark copper prices on the London Metal Exchange fell by 0.2% to $9,613.50 a tonne, while one-month futures dropped by 0.4% to $4.3985 a pound. Weak economic data from China, showing lower-than-expected growth in the second quarter, added to concerns surrounding the demand outlook for copper.

Looking ahead, all eyes are on the Third Plenum of the Chinese Communist Party as pressure mounts on Beijing to implement further stimulus measures to bolster the economy.

Insight: In times of economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions, investors often turn to safe haven assets like gold, which tend to perform well under such conditions. The current environment of trade conflicts and rate cut expectations is creating a favorable backdrop for gold prices to continue their upward trajectory.

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