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Gold prices dip before release of US inflation data

kent-jackson by kent-jackson
September 10, 2024
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Gold prices dip before release of US inflation data
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Gold prices experienced a slight dip on Tuesday, influenced by a stronger dollar and anticipation surrounding crucial U.S. inflation data that may impact the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision.

Spot gold decreased by 0.1% to $2,502.80 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures remained stable at $2,532.00 as of 0526 GMT.

The surge in the dollar to a 1-week high has made gold relatively more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Looking ahead, market focus will shift towards the release of U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) figures on Thursday.

It is anticipated that the headline CPI for August will show a 0.2% increase month-on-month, staying consistent with July, based on a Reuters survey.

Additional Insight: Inflation data is a key determinant for the Fed’s rate adjustment decisions, and any signs of disinflation could pave the way for rate cuts. This expectation suggests that gold prices are likely to stay supported above $2,500 levels, with a projected increase to over $2,660 in the near future. This forecast highlights the importance of economic indicators in shaping precious metal prices.

The current trend indicates that gold prices are consolidating within an upward trajectory, with gains being tempered by a slight recovery in the U.S. dollar.

Lower interest rates diminish the opportunity cost associated with holding gold, which does not yield interest.

The Fed is highly probable to lower rates at its upcoming meeting, with traders pricing in a 71% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction compared to a 29% likelihood of a 50-bp cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

A recent report from the New York Federal Reserve revealed that while the public’s inflation expectations remained steady, current price pressures were showing signs of easing.

Spot silver saw a 0.2% decline to $28.29 per ounce, while platinum rose by 0.3% to $940.77 and palladium increased by 0.6% to $952.15.

(Source: Reuters)

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