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Gold price surges by 2% to reach $2,400 following weak US inflation data, boosting chances of rate cuts – TradingView News

kent-jackson by kent-jackson
July 12, 2024
in News
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Gold price surges by 2% to reach $2,400 following weak US inflation data, boosting chances of rate cuts – TradingView News
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  • Gold prices jump 2% to $2,400.
  • Non-yielding metal gets a boost.
  • Bullion to log third green week.

Illustration by TradingView

Precious metal generally gets more attractive during times of low interest rates and recent CPI could speed up the rate cut timeline.

  • Gold prices XAUUSD jumped higher by 2% in afternoon trading Thursday and remained elevated Friday morning after the latest inflation report out of the US shot below expectations. The consumer price index reading for June arrived at a cool 3.0% on an annualized basis — lower than May’s 3.3% and sliding under consensus calls for 3.1%. The soft data boosted gold thanks to the dynamics between inflation and bullion.
  • Gold shifted gears to top $2,400 per ounce on Friday, up from a Thursday low of $2,370 as gold bugs cheered receding price pressures, which brightened prospects of interest rate cuts. The yellow metal is sensitive to inflation figures, which in turn help set expectations for the highly anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. The play goes like this: lower inflation could lead to lower interest rates.
  • And lower interest rates could lead to higher gold prices. This is because when borrowing costs go down, dollar deposits yield less and that lowers the opportunity cost of holding gold, which doesn’t yield anything. Against this backdrop, the precious commodity is set to close out the third straight winning week. Over that time span, it has added nearly 5% to its price tag.

### Factors Driving Gold Prices

Gold prices surged by 2% to reach $2,400, reflecting the ongoing trend of the non-yielding metal gaining momentum. This significant jump can be attributed to multiple factors that are currently impacting the gold market.

### Inflation Report Influence

The recent inflation report from the US, which showed a lower-than-expected consumer price index reading for June, played a crucial role in boosting gold prices. With inflation figures dictating market expectations for future interest rate changes, the soft data prompted a positive response from gold investors.

### Relationship Between Inflation and Gold

The relationship between inflation and gold is a key driver of the precious metal’s value. Lower inflation rates tend to pave the way for interest rate cuts, making gold more appealing as the opportunity cost of holding the non-interest-bearing asset decreases.

### Outlook for Gold Prices

Given the current scenario where inflation trends are influencing expectations of interest rate adjustments, gold is set to close out its third consecutive week of gains. This positive momentum is likely to persist as gold continues to be a favored asset in times of economic uncertainty and market volatility.

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