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Home News

Gold on Track for Weekly Gain with Focus on US Payrolls

kent-jackson by kent-jackson
July 5, 2024
in News
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Gold on Track for Weekly Gain with Focus on US Payrolls
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Gold prices edge up on track for weekly gain

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On Friday, gold prices inched up, maintaining a positive trajectory for the week. The market awaited U.S. employment data to assess the potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

Spot gold was up 0.1% at $2,358.14 per ounce, showing an increase of more than 1% for the week. U.S. gold futures slightly dropped by 0.1% to $2,366.30.

The U.S. nonfarm payrolls report is scheduled to be released at 1230 GMT, which is expected to provide crucial insights into the health of the economy.

Market sentiment and Fed rate cut expectations

Economic data released earlier in the week, such as weak services and ADP employment reports, suggested a slowdown in the U.S. economy. Additionally, there was an uptick in initial applications for U.S. unemployment benefits.

Traders are currently factoring in approximately a 73% chance of a Fed rate cut in September, as per the CME FedWatch Tool. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.

A wait-and-see approach

Recent minutes from the Fed’s June session indicated that officials advised a cautious approach before committing to interest rate cuts. This cautious stance is likely to influence market sentiment and gold prices in the coming weeks.

Geopolitical developments

On the geopolitical front, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu informed U.S. President Joe Biden about the decision to send a delegation to resume talks with Hamas on a hostage release deal. Geopolitical tensions and developments can have an impact on gold prices, as investors seek safe-haven assets during uncertain times.

Other precious metals performance

Spot silver saw a 0.2% increase to $30.45, marking its best week since May 17. Platinum fell by 0.2% to $1,000.82, while palladium gained 0.2% to reach $1,019.11. Both metals are set for weekly gains, showcasing a diverse performance within the precious metals market.

Key data and events to watch

Key data and events to monitor include industrial output and production numbers from Germany, as well as Halifax house prices data from the UK. The release of U.S. non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate, and average earnings data for June will also be closely watched for insights into the U.S. economic landscape.

Adding a diverse range of insights, such as the impact of geopolitical events and the cautious approach by the Fed, can provide a more comprehensive view of the factors influencing gold prices and the broader market dynamics.

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