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Home News

XAU/USD price direction uncertain amid increasing Fed rate cut speculation

kent-jackson by kent-jackson
May 8, 2024
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XAU/USD price direction uncertain amid increasing Fed rate cut speculation
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  • Gold price is slightly up near $2,315 even though the US Dollar recovers sharply.
  • Worsening Middle East tensions keep the downside in the Gold price supported.
  • The US Dollar recovers after Fed Kashkari’s hawkish guidance on interest rates.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is currently navigating a narrow path during Wednesday’s London session, hovering just above the key support level of $2,300.

Despite a strong rebound in the US Dollar, the precious metal managed to edge up by 0.10%. Typically, when the US Dollar strengthens, the appeal for Gold, which is denominated in dollars, weakens. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are helping to keep the Gold price from sliding further.

In a recent statement, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari’s hawkish stance on interest rates led to a recovery in the US Dollar. Kashkari emphasized the need for consistent positive inflation data before considering any changes in policy, indicating a steady approach to interest rates in the near term.

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Palestine, has added support to the Gold price as investors seek safe-haven assets amid escalating tensions. Israel’s expansion of military actions into the southern part of Gaza has heightened concerns, keeping demand for Gold intact.

Gold Technical Analysis

Gold has been stuck in a narrow range between $2,280 and $2,330 for over a week, reflecting uncertainty among traders. The metal is currently hugging the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at around $2,314.60, signaling a period of consolidation ahead.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing limited movement, with the range tightening between 40.00 and 60.00, indicating decreasing volatility in the near term.

Gold Four-Hour Chart

 

Additional insight:
The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, especially the ongoing conflict between Israel and Palestine, have historically influenced the demand for safe-haven assets like Gold. Investors closely monitor such events for potential impacts on global stability, which in turn can affect the price of Gold. This interconnectedness between geopolitical affairs and financial markets highlights the importance of understanding the broader context when analyzing and trading assets like Gold.

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