Gold Holds Steady Amidst Dollar Strength
Gold prices remained stable on Tuesday, with the U.S. dollar staying close to two-month highs. This caused a dilemma for markets, torn between profit-taking and the possibility of more rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
At 0955 GMT, spot gold was up 0.1% at $2,654.58 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures rose 0.2% to $2,671.80.
Analyst Ross Norman pointed out that the strong U.S. dollar, higher Treasury yields, and the temptation for profit-taking due to gold’s significant 30% increase this year are creating challenges for gold at the moment.
Insight into Gold Market Dynamics
Despite these challenges, there is speculation that gold could reach a fresh all-time high before the end of the year. The likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut in November stands at 87%, as per the CME FedWatch tool. Given that gold tends to perform well in a low-interest rate environment, further rate cuts could offer support to the precious metal.
Additional factors influencing the gold market include statements from Fed officials like Chrisopher Waller and Neel Kashkari, hinting at varying perspectives on future rate cuts in light of inflation targets.
Looking Ahead in Precious Metals Market
In addition to developments in the gold market, attention is also shifting to other precious metals. Spot silver held steady at $31.15 per ounce, while platinum fell by 1.1% to $981.56. Palladium was down by 1.2% at $1,017.98.
Insight into Platinum Market Forecast
UBS analysts have noted a trend of disappointing scrap supply for platinum in recent years, but they anticipate a potential recovery next year. Despite this, UBS still expects the platinum market to face under-supply conditions in 2025.
In conclusion, while gold faces headwinds from a strong dollar and profit-taking pressures, the outlook for the precious metal remains positive due to expectations of further rate cuts, potential all-time highs, and ongoing dynamics in other precious metals markets.
