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Market Update: Gold Prices Dip, Oil Falls Over 1% Due to U.S. Crude Build

kent-jackson by kent-jackson
May 8, 2024
in News
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Market Update: Gold Prices Dip, Oil Falls Over 1% Due to U.S. Crude Build
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A close up of many red oil barrels

mevans

Gold prices moved lower (XAUUSD:CUR) on Wednesday due to a stronger dollar, with investors waiting to see the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates. Meanwhile, oil prices experienced a decline as U.S. stockpiles increased.

Neel Kashkari’s comments on the Fed’s rate decisions led to some selling in gold, according to ANZ Research.

China continued to increase its gold reserves for the 18th consecutive month, albeit at a slower pace. The first-quarter purchases by central banks globally marked a record high, signaling strong demand for the precious metal.

Technically, gold’s price breakout from a multi-year consolidation phase indicates a potential long-term bull market, as stated by Jan Nieuwenhuijs, a gold analyst at Gainesville Coins.

On the other hand, oil prices fell by over 1% as U.S. crude and fuel inventories rose, reflecting subdued demand and cautionary supply projections ahead of an OPEC+ policy meeting.

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak’s remarks on OPEC+ increasing production and other factors hinting at reduced supply concerns contributed to a slight decline in crude oil futures.

In contrast, natural gas prices climbed higher supported by reduced production and increased feedgas to LNG export facilities.

ING analysts suggested that the U.S. natural gas market seems to have stabilized, with prices rebounding from recent lows due to expected flat supply growth and higher demand in the coming years.

“While U.S. natural gas prices are expected to rise, there are some risks to this outlook, including comfortable storage levels and potential surprises in associated gas production,” the brokerage added.

Warren Patterson, Head of Commodities Strategy at ING, noted that the global gas and LNG market’s weaknesses are attracting more price-sensitive buyers in Asia following the turbulent market conditions in recent years.

Recent Commodity Price Movements and A Look at Some ETFs

  • Energy

    • Crude oil (CL1:COM) -1.16% to $77.47.
    • Natural Gas (NG1:COM) +1.53% to $2.24.

    Metals

    Agriculture

    • Corn (C_1:COM) -3.10% to $452.54.
    • Wheat (W_1:COM) -3.26% to $621.81.
    • Soybeans (S_1:COM) +0.10% to $1,230.53.

    Commodity ETFs

    Gold ETFs:

    • SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD)
    • VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)
    • VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)
    • iShares Gold Trust ETF (IAU)
    • Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares ETF (NUGT)
    • Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS)

    Other Metal ETFs:

    • iShares Silver Trust ETF (SLV)
    • Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV)
    • Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL)
    • U.S. Copper Index Fund, LP ETF (CPER)
    • abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF (PALL)

    Oil ETFs:

    • U.S. Oil Fund, LP ETF (USO)
    • Invesco DB Oil Fund ETF (DBO)
    • U.S. 12 Month Oil Fund, LP ETF (USL)
    • U.S. Brent Oil Fund, LP ETF (BNO)
    • U.S. Natural Gas Fund, LP ETF (UNG)
    • U.S. Gasoline Fund, LP ETF (UGA)

    Agriculture ETFs:

    • Invesco DB Agriculture Fund ETF (DBA)
    • Teucrium Soybean ETF (SOYB)
    • Teucrium Wheat ETF (WEAT)
    • Teucrium Corn Fund ETF (CORN)

Additional Insight:

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– Central banks worldwide have been boosting their gold reserves, hinting at sustained demand for the precious metal as a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty.
– The potential multi-year bull market for gold could attract more investors looking to hedge against inflation and market volatility.
– The shift towards price-sensitive buyers in the Asian gas market underscores the importance of global economic dynamics on commodity prices and demand trends.
– The stabilization of the U.S. natural gas market reflects the interplay of supply, demand, and storage levels, highlighting the complexities of energy market dynamics.

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