Gold Price Declines Amid Investor Focus on Fed Rate Cuts
Gold slid 1% on Thursday, reaching its lowest level in two weeks, as investors shifted their focus to U.S. economic data that could provide insights into the Federal Reserve’s potential interest rate cuts.
Spot gold GOLD fell 1% to $2,374.84 per ounce by 1016 GMT, marking the lowest point since July 10. U.S. gold futures GOLD dropped 1.7% to $2,374.20.
This decline in gold prices can be attributed to the shifting sentiment in the market, particularly due to the increasing bets on rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Institutional repositioning plays a role in this movement, as mentioned by Zain Vawda, a market analyst at MarketPulse by OANDA.
Market Turmoil and Shifting Investments
Stock markets globally saw a significant downturn on Thursday primarily driven by a dramatic slump in tech stocks, causing investors to reconsider their investment strategies.
“Like the pivot we are witnessing in the stock market, market participants may be moving away from gold and exploring other investment avenues, while profit-taking actions are also influencing these movements,” added Vawda.
Thomson ReutersSpot gold price in USD per oz
Market Anticipation of Economic Data
The market eagerly anticipates the release of U.S. gross domestic product data scheduled at 1230 GMT, along with personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data on Friday. These data points are crucial in shaping expectations related to the timing of potential rate cuts.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in a 100% chance of a rate cut by the Fed in September. In a low-interest rate environment, non-yielding assets like gold tend to attract investors seeking stability.
Gold, Platinum, and Palladium Price Projections
A recent Reuters poll indicated that gold prices are likely to surge to record highs in the near future, while platinum and palladium are expected to remain below $1,000 per ounce in 2024.
Looking at the physical demand aspect, JP Morgan highlighted the importance of gold’s price responsiveness in maintaining a stable floor price despite fluctuations in demand, particularly from China.
Impact on Other Precious Metals
Aside from gold, other precious metals also experienced significant declines. Spot silver XAGUSD1! dropped 3.7% to $27.91 per ounce, hitting an 11-week low.
Platinum PL1! eased 1.4% to $934.70, nearing a three-month low, while palladium XPDUSD1! slipped 2.4% to $910.75.