Market Volatility Ahead
Gold recovered slightly on Monday after experiencing its largest single-day drop in three-and-a-half years on Friday amidst growing anticipation of US inflation data and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision on interest rates.
Spot gold GOLD rose 0.5% to $2,303.01 per ounce while US gold futures GOLD fell 0.2% to $2,320.70.
Friday’s decline in gold prices may have been exaggerated according to Phillip Streible, chief market strategist at Blue Line Futures, leading to the emergence of bargain hunters at this lower price level. The week ahead is expected to bring increased market volatility with various data releases and events on the horizon.
China’s Impact on Gold Prices
The drop on Friday was attributed to a stronger-than-expected US jobs report, which reduced expectations for a September rate cut. Additionally, news of China’s central bank abstaining from gold purchases further dampened investor sentiment, highlighting the significant impact of Chinese demand on gold prices.
Julius Baer analyst Carsten Menke emphasized the importance of China’s buying behavior, noting that as long as the People’s Bank of China refrains from purchasing gold, price movements may remain relatively stagnant due to the market’s focus on Chinese demand.
Upcoming Data and Fed Decision
Despite a stronger dollar and US Treasury yields, gold managed a modest recovery with attention shifting to the US consumer inflation report scheduled for release alongside the Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Wednesday. While no immediate changes are expected from the Fed, analysts will closely monitor comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and any updates to economic projections.
The potential for higher interest rates poses a challenge for gold, as it increases the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset. Meanwhile, other metals saw mixed movements, with spot silver XAGUSD1! and platinum PL1! edging higher, while palladium XPDUSD1! experienced a slight decline.