Gold Prices Rise as Dollar weakens
Gold prices rose on Monday as the dollar weakened, prompting some short covering from investors. The focus now shifts to the upcoming U.S. jobs data that could potentially provide more clarity on possible interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
The price of spot gold increased by 0.2% to $2,330.92 per ounce, while U.S. gold futures also saw a 0.1% gain to $2,341.60. This comes after gold prices registered a more than 4% gain in the second quarter. The decline in the dollar index by 0.2% against its rivals made gold more attractive for holders of other currencies.
Insight: Market Analysts Expecting Sideways Movement
According to Jim Wyckoff, a senior market analyst at Kitco Metals, there is a bit of short covering by shorter-term futures traders and bargain hunting by cash market participants. He also noted that firm crude oil prices and a weaker US dollar were providing support to the markets. Wyckoff shared his prediction, stating, “We are probably going to grind sideways here or maybe sideways to lower here for probably the rest of the summers.”
Looking ahead, investors will be closely monitoring the remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday, the release of minutes from the Fed’s latest policy meeting on Wednesday, and U.S. nonfarm payrolls data scheduled for Friday. Last week’s data showed that U.S. prices were unchanged in May, with moderate consumer spending. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo mentioned, “Powell is likely to stick to a data-dependent stance, so should payrolls later this week come in softer, it could again lift gold prices.”
Market Predictions on Interest Rate Cuts
Currently, the market anticipates a 64% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates in September, along with another cut in December. Lower interest rates generally reduce the opportunity cost of holding onto bullion, making gold more attractive to investors.
In other precious metals news, spot silver rose by 0.8% to $29.35, platinum slipped by 0.6% to $987.05, and palladium gained 1.3% to $985. Investors will continue to monitor these price movements in correlation with market trends and external factors.