Gold futures gained on Friday to wrap up a fifth straight weekly increase, marking the metal’s longest winning streak since January 2023. This upward trend comes despite the rise in the dollar and bond yields, along with reduced expectations for rate cuts in 2024.
“It is increasingly clear that normal reaction functions have been abandoned with gold,” noted Ole Hansen from Saxo Bank.
Gold’s 16% year-to-date rally has been attributed by Hansen to various factors such as geopolitical risks from the Middle East and the conflict in Ukraine, robust retail demand in China, central bank acquisitions, escalating debt-to-GDP ratios in major economies, and the potential resurgence of inflation.
Front-month Comex gold (XAUUSD:CUR) for April delivery closed +1.8% for the week at $2,398.40/oz, including a 0.7% gain on Friday. Similarly, front-month April Comex silver (XAGUSD:CUR) ended +1.9% at $28.808/oz, rising 1.7% on Friday.
“The escalation and de-escalation situation in the Middle East has taken hold of the markets,” commented David Meger of High Ridge Futures. He suggested that while gold may retreat if tensions ease, the overall upward trend in gold could persist as the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts beyond market expectations.
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#### Increased Gold Prices Amid Market Volatility
The recent surge in gold prices, driven by a variety of global factors, showcases the metal’s resilience in the face of market volatility. Geopolitical tensions in regions like the Middle East and ongoing conflicts, combined with economic uncertainties and inflation concerns, have boosted the appeal of gold as a safe haven asset.
#### Federal Reserve’s Impact on Gold Prices
The expectation that the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts has also played a role in the bullish outlook for gold. While short-term fluctuations based on geopolitical events may occur, the overarching trend indicates a positive trajectory for gold prices as investors seek stability in uncertain times.