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Gold Price Surges Amid Tehran Attack, NUGT ETF Offers Exposure to Rising Gold Miners

kent-jackson by kent-jackson
April 16, 2024
in News
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Gold Price Surges Amid Tehran Attack, NUGT ETF Offers Exposure to Rising Gold Miners
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Spot gold experienced a significant increase of over 0.5% on Tuesday, driven by rising tensions in the Middle East after Iran deployed numerous drones and missiles towards Israel. The escalation of conflict raised fears of a potential broader regional conflict that could have negative repercussions on the global economy.

Gold’s upward movement on Tuesday, approaching the all-time high set on April 12 at $2,431.78, also had an impact on the gold mining sector, pushing it in a positive direction.

Insight: Escalating geopolitical tensions have historically driven investors towards safe-haven assets like gold, as they seek to protect their investments in times of uncertainty.

The NUGT Chart: NUGT saw a strong rally of about 88% from February 28 to April 12, reaching an 11-month high of $43.58. Subsequently, the ETF retraced with higher-than-average volume on Friday, followed by consolidation on decreasing volume on Monday and Tuesday.

  • On Tuesday, NUGT broke its uptrend by printing a lower low below the most recent higher low set on April 10 at $37.15. While the uptrend was invalidated, confirmation of a downtrend requires the ETF to print a lower high below the 11-month high.
  • Additionally, on Tuesday, NUGT hinted at a potential reversal with a dragonfly doji or hammer candlestick, suggesting a possible bottom with a potential upward movement on Wednesday. Bullish investors will be looking for the ETF to regain the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as a support level.
  • Conversely, bearish traders will be watching for a rejection of the eight-day EMA by NUGT, followed by significant bearish volume that could push the ETF below Tuesday’s low, signaling a new downtrend.
  • Key resistance levels for NUGT are at $37.68 and $41.31, while support levels lie at $33 and $28.13.

Image sourced from Shutterstock

Direct Analysis for Traders

Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares (NYSE:NUGT), known for tracking spot gold, showed a rebound from Tuesday’s low. It is crucial for investors to understand the implications and risks associated with leveraged ETFs, which are designed for experienced traders and not suitable for long-term investment strategies or low-risk tolerance individuals.

Insight: Leveraged ETFs amplify market movements, both gains, and losses, and necessitate a keen understanding of market dynamics and risk management.

For those inclined towards a bearish outlook on the gold mining sector, Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares (NYSE:DUST) offers an alternative perspective for traders.

Major holdings in NUGT consist of companies like Newmont Corp (NYSE:NEM), Barrick Gold Corp (NYSE:GOLD), and Franco-Nevada Corp (NYSE:FNV), collectively representing 30.05% of the fund’s portfolio.

Insight: Knowledge of individual holdings within an ETF is crucial for market participants, as the performance of these companies can significantly impact the overall fund performance.

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Spot gold experienced a significant increase of over 0.5% on Tuesday, driven by rising tensions in the Middle East after Iran deployed numerous drones and missiles towards Israel. The escalation of conflict raised fears of a potential broader regional conflict that could have negative repercussions on the global economy.

Gold’s upward movement on Tuesday, approaching the all-time high set on April 12 at $2,431.78, also had an impact on the gold mining sector, pushing it in a positive direction.

Insight: Escalating geopolitical tensions have historically driven investors towards safe-haven assets like gold, as they seek to protect their investments in times of uncertainty.

The NUGT Chart: NUGT saw a strong rally of about 88% from February 28 to April 12, reaching an 11-month high of $43.58. Subsequently, the ETF retraced with higher-than-average volume on Friday, followed by consolidation on decreasing volume on Monday and Tuesday.

  • On Tuesday, NUGT broke its uptrend by printing a lower low below the most recent higher low set on April 10 at $37.15. While the uptrend was invalidated, confirmation of a downtrend requires the ETF to print a lower high below the 11-month high.
  • Additionally, on Tuesday, NUGT hinted at a potential reversal with a dragonfly doji or hammer candlestick, suggesting a possible bottom with a potential upward movement on Wednesday. Bullish investors will be looking for the ETF to regain the eight-day exponential moving average (EMA) as a support level.
  • Conversely, bearish traders will be watching for a rejection of the eight-day EMA by NUGT, followed by significant bearish volume that could push the ETF below Tuesday’s low, signaling a new downtrend.
  • Key resistance levels for NUGT are at $37.68 and $41.31, while support levels lie at $33 and $28.13.

Image sourced from Shutterstock

Direct Analysis for Traders

Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares (NYSE:NUGT), known for tracking spot gold, showed a rebound from Tuesday’s low. It is crucial for investors to understand the implications and risks associated with leveraged ETFs, which are designed for experienced traders and not suitable for long-term investment strategies or low-risk tolerance individuals.

Insight: Leveraged ETFs amplify market movements, both gains, and losses, and necessitate a keen understanding of market dynamics and risk management.

For those inclined towards a bearish outlook on the gold mining sector, Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares (NYSE:DUST) offers an alternative perspective for traders.

Major holdings in NUGT consist of companies like Newmont Corp (NYSE:NEM), Barrick Gold Corp (NYSE:GOLD), and Franco-Nevada Corp (NYSE:FNV), collectively representing 30.05% of the fund’s portfolio.

Insight: Knowledge of individual holdings within an ETF is crucial for market participants, as the performance of these companies can significantly impact the overall fund performance.

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