- Gold price struggles to find direction as it is influenced by various factors.
- Weaker US GDP and higher inflation support gold, while hawkish Fed expectations limit upside.
- Traders await US PCE Price Index release for further guidance.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is experiencing a lack of clear direction and remains range-bound in the Asian session on Friday amidst conflicting fundamental influences. The recent US GDP report indicated a slowdown in economic growth at the beginning of 2024 and an increase in inflation, which has boosted the precious metal due to its role as a hedge against inflation. However, the expectations of a hawkish Federal Reserve are keeping a lid on the upside potential.
Investors are anticipating a prolonged period of higher interest rates from the Fed due to stubborn inflation, which is driving up US Treasury bond yields and supporting the US Dollar. Additionally, the positive sentiment in equity markets is weighing on gold as a safe-haven asset. Traders are hesitant and are waiting for the release of the US PCE Price Index to gain insights into the Fed’s future monetary policy decisions, which will guide the next move for XAU/USD.
Additional Insight: Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis
- The US GDP report revealing subdued economic growth and persistent inflation is a key factor supporting gold prices.
- US Commerce Department data showed a 1.6% growth rate in Q1, the weakest since mid-2022, accompanied by a 3.7% rise in inflation.
- Rising bond yields and easing geopolitical tensions are limiting gold’s gains, while traders await the PCE Price Index for further direction.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels for Gold Price
On the technical front, XAU/USD is facing resistance near the 100-period SMA around $2,345, signaling a critical pivot point. A breakout above this level could lead to further gains towards $2,371-2,372 and potentially $2,400. However, a breach below $2,300 may trigger a corrective decline targeting $2,260-2,255 and $2,225 levels.
Insight into Gold: FAQs
Gold’s historical significance as a store of value and safe-haven asset is evident, especially during times of economic uncertainty. Central banks worldwide hold significant gold reserves to bolster their currencies and instill trust in their economies. Gold’s inverse correlation with the US Dollar and risk assets makes it a popular choice for diversifying investment portfolios.
