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Gold price decreases in anticipation of upcoming US inflation data release

kent-jackson by kent-jackson
September 1, 2024
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Gold price decreases in anticipation of upcoming US inflation data release
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Market Update: Gold Price Reacts to US Dollar Strength

The gold price (XAU/USD) edged lower on Friday as the US dollar (USD) strengthened. A positive US growth report and a decline in Initial Jobless Claims have reduced the likelihood of a deeper rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September, putting pressure on the non-yielding precious metal.

Despite the downward pressure on gold from the stronger US dollar, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine could provide support for the yellow metal as investors seek safe-haven assets.

Focus on US Inflation Data

Investors will be closely monitoring the upcoming US inflation data for further insights into the potential size of the Fed rate cut. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, is expected to show a 2.7% year-over-year increase in July, compared to 2.6% in June.

A weaker-than-expected PCE reading could prompt the Fed to initiate a rate-cutting cycle, which would act as a positive catalyst for the XAU/USD pair.

Adding to the mix, global macroeconomic indicators, such as trade tensions and central bank policies, continue to play a significant role in shaping market sentiment and the direction of gold prices in the near term.

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