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Citi Recommends Buying Newmont as Gold Prices Surge

kent-jackson by kent-jackson
April 5, 2024
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Citi Recommends Buying Newmont as Gold Prices Surge
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The gold price is soaring, currently sitting just shy of A$3,500.

Newmont Corporation: The Go-To Stock

While every company from small-cap to billion-dollar entities are getting excited, analysts at Citi say Newmont Corporation (NYSE:NEM, TSX:NGT, ASX:NEM, ETR:NMM) is the go-to stock.

Analysts have initiated coverage on the stock and while Newmont has experienced a run of poor trading recently, they believe the gold price will provide major tailwinds.

Citi is forecasting a share price of A$69 – around 20% higher than where the stock has been trading recently.

Citi is not alone in keeping its eye on the New York-listed mining giant, which merged with local hero Newcrest last year and maintained a secondary listing on the ASX.

Barrenjoey and Macquarie have also initiated coverage and are also bullish.

Citi told investors recently, “The stock has hugely underperformed gold”.

Analysts said it expected elevated gold prices to begin showing up in the company’s free cash flow going forward.

This will be a relief to investors, with shares down more than 6% since the start of the year, having bottomed at around A$45 in late February as the company was about to be ejected from the S&P/ASX 20 index.

Citi analysts believe that if Newmont can meet its production guidance and grow free-cash-flow per share, it will outperform the jump in gold prices.

Gold prices to remain high

Spot gold prices hit a record high above US$2,300 per ounce on Thursday, with Citi saying it is likely to stay around that mark for at least six months.

“Citi sees the market supported prices well-above US$1,925 per ounce and in a bullish wildcard scenario, would call for US$3,000-per-ounce gold price in a 12-month context.”

Analysts say one factor pushing up the price is the likelihood that the US Federal Reserve would cut rates.

Additional Insight

With a positive outlook on gold prices and Newmont Corporation’s potential to outperform, investors may find the stock to be a promising opportunity in the current market landscape. The merger with Newcrest and maintaining a secondary listing on the ASX also adds to Newmont’s appeal as a strong contender in the mining sector.

Considering the ongoing market conditions and the factors influencing gold prices, such as potential rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve, Newmont Corporation’s performance in the coming months could be closely tied to the trajectory of gold prices.

As investors evaluate their options in the mining industry, keeping an eye on Newmont Corporation’s stock performance and its alignment with the gold market trends could offer valuable insights for investment decisions.

Newmont is currently trading on the ASX at $57.32.

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